Weekly Regulation Summary

Summary for Week Ending January 19, 2022

The Plan 2014 "Rule Curve" flow for the week of January 22 through 28 is 8,300 m3/s (293,100 cfs). However, ice continues to form in the critical sections of the St. Lawrence River, and Lake Ontario’s outflow will continue to be operationally adjusted to assist the formation of a stable ice cover.

These operational outflow adjustments are consistent with and accounted for in the design of the regulation plan as part of the “I Limit”. For more information, please refer to Learning Module 5 as well as FAQs 2.7 and 4.8.4.


  Week Ending: Wed, Jan 19 2022 Average this time of the year (c) 
Lake Ontario -    
         Actual end of week level: 74.87 m  (245.64 ft) 74.58 m  (244.69 ft)
         Computed Plan 2014 Level (a): 74.87 m  (245.64 ft)  
         Computed Preproject Level (b): 75.57 m  (247.93 ft)  
         Weekly Mean Outflow: 7170 m³/s  (253200 cfs) 6430 m³/s  (227100 cfs)
         Weekly Total Supply: 8170 m³/s  (288500 cfs) 7030 m³/s  (248300 cfs)
Lake St. Lawrence at Long Sault Dam Weekly Mean Level:  72.95 m  (239.34 ft) 72.96 m  (239.37 ft)
Lake St. Louis at Pointe-Claire Weekly Mean Level:  21.50 m  (70.54 ft) 21.32 m  (69.95 ft)
Montreal Harbour at Jetty #1 Weekly Mean Level:  6.64 m  (21.78 ft) 6.75 m  (22.15 ft)
Ottawa River at Carillon Weekly Mean Outflow: 2110 m³/s  (74500 cfs) 1950 m³/s  (68900 cfs)
Preliminary Lake Ontario Outflow for Week Ending Fri, Jan 28 2022: 6200 m³/s  (218900 cfs) 6580 m³/s  (232400 cfs)


Levels are in metres (feet) IGLD 1985.  Supply and flows are in cubic metres (feet) per second.  

(a) Levels that would have occurred with strict adherence to Plan 2014.

(b) Levels that would have occurred had there been no Lake Ontario regulation.        
(c) For comparison purposes, Lake Ontario water level data since 1918 are used to be consistent with those published in the  US and Canadian Great Lakes bulletins (https://www.waterlevels.gc.ca/C&A/bulletin-eng.html). Other averages are for the periods as follows: Lake Ontario outflows and levels at Long Sault and Pointe-Claire since 1960; Montreal since 1967; and Ottawa River outflow at Carillon since 1963.

The regulation plan for Lake Ontario specifies a weekly average outflow from Saturday through the following Friday, inclusive.  To provide timely information for the coming week to the hydropower and Seaway operators, and our readers, we complete the regulation plan calculations each Thursday.  Our calculations use the data available at the time, which are from the previous seven days (Thursday through Wednesday). Since the two time periods do not exactly coincide, their data are usually slightly different.

The table shows the actual flow for the week ending Wednesday.  It also gives the preliminary flow for the coming week ending Friday.  We emphasize that this is the preliminary flow, since unforeseen flow changes may occur after we have issued our notice.  When these flow changes occur, they are reflected in the subsequent week's notice.

Information in this report is compiled from provisional data provided by: Environment & Climate Change Canada, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Hydro Quebec, Ontario Power Generation Inc, the New York Power Authority, and the U.S. National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration.