The Role and Reactions of the Municipalities
of the Red River Valley During the Flood of 1997

A Report to the International Red River Basin Task Force of the International Joint Commission
December, 1997

Robert W. Tait, Ph.D. and M. Matiur Rahman, Ph.D.
University of Manitoba Disaster Research Institute
212 Sinnott Building
Winnipeg, Manitoba R3T 2M6

November 17, 1997

©1997 International Joint Commission


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Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

I  THE BACKGROUND

II  DESCRIPTION OF THE RURAL MUNICIPALITIES: AREA AND POPULATION

  1. Organizational Structure of the Municipalities

III  THE RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  1. Focus Groups
  2. The Questionnaire Survey
  3. Debriefing Session for the Senior Officers of the Rural Municipalities and Towns of the Red River Valley -Morris, November 24, 1997
  4. The Perspective of the Manitoba Emergency Management Organization-Meeting of November 27, 1997

IV   OBSERVATIONS

  1. Observations From the Focus Groups
  2. Observations From the Questionnaires
  3. Debriefing Session for the Senior Officials of the Rural Municipalities and Towns of the Red River Valley - Morris, November 24, 1997
  4. Meeting with Members of the Manitoba Emergency Management Organization - November 27, 1997

V  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

  1. Caveats on the Methodology
  2. The Role of Leadership
  3. Reactions Compared to Best Practices
  4. System Issues

VI  REFERENCES


Executive Summary

The report identified the views of the principal officials of the Rural Municipalities on the strengths and weaknesses of the emergency operations in their communities during the Red River flood of 1997. Their views were compared to practices advocated in the disaster research literature and recommendations were generated based on the discrepancies between the perceptions of the principal officials and the best practices.

The Context

Between Winnipeg and the American border, there are eight Rural Municipalities (Franklin, Montcalm, Morris, Rhineland, Macdonald, De Salaberry, and Richot), six towns (Emerson, Dominion City, Morris, Ste Agathe, St Adolphe, and Niverville) and a First Nations Reserve (Roseau River) on the floodplain. These communities defined the scope of the study area. It was noted that the impact of the flood was not uniform among the communities but ranged from a low of six percent of land area flooded in Rhineland, to a high of 91 percent in the municipality of Richot. Consequently, the magnitude of the challenge faced by the principal officials varied greatly among the rural municipalities.

Research Methodology

The report was based on four different techniques for gathering data. First, focus group discussions were held in Rosenort (Rural Municipality of Morris), St. Jean Baptiste (Rural Municipality of Montcalm) and the Anishinabe First Nations' Band Council of the Roseau River Indian Reserve. Second, based on issues raised in the focus groups, a field survey questionnaire was sent to all reeves, councillors, administrators or Emergency Coordinators of the local governments of Richot, Montcalm, Franklin, De Salaberry, Macdonald, Morris, Rhineland, Anishinabe Band in The Roseau River Indian Reserve, and the Town of Morris. Third, a debriefing session was held with the rural municipal and town officials which included mayors, reeves, deputy reeves or councillors, and the administrative officers. And finally, members of the Manitoba Emergency Management Organization were interviewed. Detailed summaries based on the four techniques are provided.

Major Observations

1. The Role of Leadership

Leadership is a major component to effective emergency management. Effective leaders sponsor planning and take a role in response activities. Measures of effective planning include the existence of an emergency plan, the existence of a call-out system for rapidly mobilizing key personnel, existence of an Emergency Operations Centre for the coordination of activity, an effective communication system, and effective leadership when responding to the emergency. Although these measures were in place during the flood and the reeves and mayors were active in both the preparedness and response phases, the Rural Municipalities were not perceived as being equally effective in managing either the preparations or the reactions to the flood. Given the magnitude of the flood, it is possible that the flood's size was simply too large to be effectively countered. If true, management problems should be roughly correlated to the land area flooded. This seemed not to be the case. The perceptions of the participants suggest that three additional factors, not previously noted in the disaster literature, may have differentiated the effectiveness of emergency management. These factors were: a) experience in flood responding, b) a team approach to decision making, and c) continuity in team composition during the emergency. Where the factors were present, emergency management encountered fewer problems than when any of these factors were absent.

2. Preparedness Planning and Response Management Practices in the Rural Municipalities

Preparedness Planning

Ten best practices for preparedness planning have been identified in the disaster literature. One of these could not be examined because of limitations in the study. In examining the remaining practices, it was noted that all the Rural Municipalities employed some of the practices, but no Rural Municipality employed all of them.

The most glaring discrepancy was noted in the use of emergency plans. Everybody had one, but they were either not used or abandoned quickly. The plans were viewed as not particularly relevant to the situation being faced. The implication, however, is that two of the best practices, emergency planning occurring as a continuous process and anticipating likely problems in the planning phase, were not occurring in the Rural Municipalities.

There is an opportunity for the Rural Municipalities to improve their preparedness planning. However, under the current system, to do so is a decision that the Rural Municipalities must reach on their own. There is little incentive for them to address the issue. At the present time, the Rural Municipalities are still deeply involved in recovery activities related to the flood. They have neither the time nor the money to engage in the process. Equally importantly, few Rural Municipalities have the local expertise needed to generate a community-based preparedness plan. The analysis suggests two things are needed: a program that encourages a continuous process of preparedness planning, and access to the expertise to assist communities in the planning process.

Response Management

Twelve best practices were identified for response management. The comparison of the perceptions of the principal officials to the best practices showed a pattern that is similar to that obtained in the comparison of best practices in preparedness planning: all Rural Municipalities were using some best practices; no Rural Municipality was using all of them. Major highlights will be noted in the paragraphs that follow.

All Rural Municipalities had Emergency Planning Committees. Some of the Emergency Planning Committees used team management processes to reach consensual decisions. Others did not. Clear advantages of the team approach were evident. Because consensual agreement in how to carry out a task is a defining characteristic of "coordination," such Emergency Planning Committees were better able to provide overall response coordination. In addition, the team approach tended to minimize challenges to decision- making effectiveness (impact of the loss of key people due to burnout, conflict over responsibilities, inter-organizational disputes, poor communication of action plans). And finally, full discussions by the key people leading to consensual decisions led to delegation of tasks and optimized the deployment of personnel and resources.

One of the best practices draws the distinction between meeting the needs and demands of the effects of the flood (agent-produced needs) from those produced by how one organizes to counter the agent-produced effects (response-generated needs). While a formal recognition of the distinction did not appear in the discussions with decision-makers, their actions suggest that all Rural Municipalities were acting in a fashion that was consistent with the distinction. The types of effects produced by high waters were anticipated (e.g., loss of road access, seepage through dikes), and countermeasures were developed (e.g., boats for access, pumps for water removal). Differences among the Rural Municipalities appeared to be ones of degree and to be related to the completeness with which they designed countermeasures. For example, having boats available gives you the capacity to supply, support, and if necessary, rescue residents who live outside the ring dikes. Having large boats with experienced pilots extends the capacity by permitting the safe performance of these tasks when there is significant wave action on the water. Thus, all Rural Municipalities had approximations to best practice of correctly recognize differences between agent-generated and response-generated needs and demands.

Despite that conclusion, there is one response-generated need for which no RM has been able to develop a good solution. A safe and reliable means of transporting people and supplies over flood waters is needed. The need is a constraint on response management and the inability to meet the need is one of the prime determinants of shifting strategies from keep the water from the people to moving the people from the water. Evacuation processes present disaster managers with a large set of response-generated needs: the safe orderly removal of people, accommodations for evacuees, provision of basic necessities during the evacuation, and reentry and recovery assistance, to name but a few. In addition, the process produces tremendous anxiety in those who are evacuated. The social costs to this anxiety are enormous, both for the individual experiencing the effects and for the social and health systems that deal with them. It is possible that if the transportation problem is solved, then criteria for declaring an evacuation can be adjusted with the consequence that fewer people may have to be evacuated in the future.

Another best practice involves adequately carrying out the generic functions of response management. Generic functions are activities that are common to most emergencies (e.g., warnings, evacuations, providing shelter, emergency care, search and rescue, protection of property, mobilizing emergency personnel and resources, assessing the damage, coordinating emergency management activities and restoring essential public services). All these functions were performed in all Rural Municipalities, although not necessarily by the RM. The major differences among the Rural Municipalities were a matter of degree. It was in these activities that the reliance on experience to guide decision-making was noted. But experience is a two-edged sword. When situations similar to your experience arise, the benefits of experience show. However, when novel situations are encountered or when similar situations contain previously unencountered components occur, then experience may offer little guidance to, or interfere with, decision-making. This was seen during the flood when experienced decision-makers were facing decisions not previously encountered (e.g., the need for evacuation, the need to work with the military). Such decisions created greater stress and seemed to be associated with more problems.

3. System Issues

Rural Municipalities do not operate in isolation. In emergency situations, Rural Municipalities provide assistance to their residents and can call on the province for advice and additional assistance. If the magnitude of the event exceeds the capacities of the provincial government, it can request assistance from the federal government. Thus, the emergency response system is a hierarchical one designed to adjust response capacities to the magnitude of the event that is occurring. The comments provided by the participants suggest that some of the difficulties in their emergency management of the Rural Municipalities may be due to the system problems that are described below.

Financing Preparedness Activities

The model for financing emergency activities seems to be based on reacting to the occurrence of an emergency rather than to the prediction of one. This fact places municipal decision-makers in a quandary. During the early part of the preparedness phase, they do not know whether financial aid will be available. If they react to the prediction and engage in preparedness activities and the flood does not materialize, then the Rural Municipality could face financial problems. On the other hand, if they do nothing, or wait until there is more certainty in the prediction, they run the risk of being unable to complete the preparedness activities, thereby increasing the probability of significant flood damages. Fiscal prudence tends to be the choice, particularly among those with no flood fighting experience. Consequently, the Rural Municipalities are not able to take full advantage of the window of opportunity that forecasters provide them. There is a need for the development of a means for financing preparedness activities when floods are predicted.

Conflicting Priorities

Many of the issues raised by the discussants reflect differences in priorities in the different levels of the emergency response system. The priorities the Rural Municipalities were pursuing at times conflicted with those of government departments and the Manitoba Emergency Management Organization (e.g., the need for mandatory evacuation), with the military (the need to respond to the situation versus the need to follow orders) and with some residence (the lack of compliance to municipal recommendations). As the different levels of the system have different responsibilities, differences during response management are likely to occur. This will be particularly true when dealing with agent-produced effects. There are no easy solutions to such problems. The impact of the dispute can be minimized if there is a clear understanding of the needs and objectives of both parties. This can be provided by an effective communication system during the emergency and a joint debriefing session after it is over. There were communication problems during the emergency that may have exacerbated disputes. And because the emergency is not over for the Rural Municipalities and some government departments, there has been little opportunity for a joint debriefing. However, in many cases the disputes were about response-generated problems. These too need to be explored in a joint debriefing session. As response-generated problems tend to reflect weaknesses in planning, the purpose of the debriefing session should have different objectives. After reaching an understanding of the basis of the disputes, protocols for making decisions in similar future situations need to be established.

Communications

Communications in an emergency situation have three key components. First, there must be a means of communicating. Second, the content of the communication must be understood by the recipient. Third, the information in the communication must flow, that is, be available to those that need the information. From the perspective of the Rural Municipalities, there were system problems with each component of communications. These are elaborated in the report. Two needs emerged from the discussion. First, there is a need to understand why there were communication difficulties and to develop a communication system that overcomes the problems. And second, there is a need for a reliable communication system for the key decision- makers in the Rural Municipalities.

4. Future Planning

During the discussions, concern was expressed about the province's current approach to planning for the next flood. The approach involves requiring all reconstruction to be done to a level of 1997 plus two feet. In the absence of any other steps, the province's strategy appears to be to fight the next flood in the same manner as it fought the 1997 flood. For some people, this strategy is viewed as a recipe for the recurrence of the anxiety, anguish, social disruption, and economic turmoil that happened in the 1997 flood because, based simply on the historical record, a flood that is substantially greater in magnitude will occur in the future. The approach of the province is considered short-sighted. Alternative or additional approaches should also be considered. The majority of the participants in the questionnaire would agree with this view. Questionnaire respondents strongly favoured land-use regulations and building codes.

Recommendations

Recommendations were stated as needs that were identified in the analysis of the participants' perceptions. Major needs that have not been included in the above sections include recommendations on:

International Cooperation;

Integrated Long-term Planning;

Long-term Impacts on People;

Preparing to Manage the Next Flood.

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I  THE BACKGROUND

The Province of Manitoba has adopted a hierarchical distributed management system to combat emergencies. The responsibility for coordinating this system lies with the Manitoba Emergency Management Organization (MEMO) and MEMO's ability to react to an emergency is shaped and limited by the Manitoba Emergency Plan.

According to the Plan, the magnitude of the reaction to an emergency is proportional to the magnitude of the event. Rural municipalities have the initial responsibility to deal with a situation. If a municipality lacks the needed resources, assistance from neighbouring municipalities is to be sought. If this proves to be insufficient, provincial assistance, and, if need be, federal assistance, can be requested. The 1997 flood in the Red River Valley taxed the Plan - all levels of assistance were invoked resulting in the rapid mobilization of large numbers of individuals throughout the valley.

The rural municipalities have the initial responsibility for preparation for, reacting to, and recovering from an emergency like the flood. Their ability to do so rests with the abilities of local emergency management team, their plans, the resources available to them, and the quality of the information that they generate and receive. Consequently, the municipalities are a crucial link in the overall effectiveness of the Plan. Their capabilities and understanding of the situation can enhance or create difficulties for coordinating activities across municipality boundaries.

The International Joint Commission's Task Force on the Red River Valley flooding commissioned a review of the role and reactions of the municipalities of the Red River Valley during the Flood of 1997. The aim of this report was to identify the institutional and structural strengths and weaknesses of the Rural Municipalities (RMs) that experienced a severe disaster due to this year's flood, as viewed by the principal officials of the RMs. The report recommends some policy changes which would give RMs greater capacity to perform efficiently and capably in times of emergencies. The writers have made every effort to present their findings as objectively as possible. The critical comments in this report reflects the opinions and perceptions of those who participated in the assessment process. The format of the report is as follows: First, the context in which the RMs operate during an emergency is described. Second, a description of the RMs is provided. This is followed by a statement of the methodology employed and the observations that resulted from the use of the methods. The final section interprets the observation and provides recommendations based on the interpretation.

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II  DESCRIPTION OF THE RURAL MUNICIPALITIES:
    AREA AND POPULATION

Between Winnipeg and the American border, there are eight Rural Municipalities on the floodplain (RMs of Franklin, Montcalm, Morris, Rhineland, Macdonald, De Salaberry, and Richot) that were partly or fully affected by the flood of 1997. There are six towns that were affected as well (Emerson, Dominion City, Morris, Ste Agathe, Ste Adolphe, and Niverville) and a First Nations Reserve (Roseau River). The Red River borders or runs through five RMs (Roseau River Indian Reserve, RMs of Franklin, Montcalm, Morris and Richot). The river separates Franklin and Montcalm in its southern part within Manitoba. Two significant north-south transportation arteries run through the floodplain - a railway and highway 75. Eight of the Rural Municipalities, including the Roseau River Indian Reserve were fully or partially flooded in 1997 (see Map 1 ).

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Table 1: Population Distribution and Percentage of Area Flooded in 1997 in the Eight Roms
RMs Population 1
(1991)
Population
Density
per sq. Km
Area
in Square
Kilometres 1
Area Flooded
as % of Total
Area 2
Number
of Private
Dwellings 1
Number
of Houses
Affected 3
De Salaberry 2,985 5 647.73 20 845 50
Franklin 1,651 2 916.54 23 645 30
Macdonald 3,999 4 1,106.0 27 1,245 22
Montcalm 1,606 4 448.65 73 510 100
Morris 2,865 3 1,015.0 61 885 150
Rhineland 4,150 4 923.62 6 1,085 32
Richot 5,146 15 336.62 91 1,575 800
Roseau River 1,600 51 31.2 na na na
Total 24002   5,425.36   6,790 1,184
Mean 3,000.25 11 678.17 43 970 169.1
Town of Morris 1,616 279 5.8   620  

Table Notes:
na = not available
1. Statistics Canada (1992): Profile of Census Divisions and Subdivisions in Manitoba, Part A-1991
2. Percentages of area flooded are approximates, calculated from the map produced by Water Resources division of the Manitoba Natural ResourceS (see Map 1 )
3. Reported by the RM Administration

Table 1 shows the magnitude of the flood effects and the population distribution in the municipalities under study. The impact of the 1997 flood varies widely from a low of six percent of land area flooded in Rhineland, to a high of 91 percent in the municipality of Richot. An average of 43 percent of the land area of the RMs was flooded. In the flooded area of Richot, half of the houses (about 800) have been damaged.

The municipalities in the present study have an average population density of five persons per square Kilometre. The RM of Richot contains the highest density of 15, while Franklin has the lowest density- two persons per square Kilometre. The Roseau River Indian Reserve is a unique community in the valley because it is a federal Indian Reservation. It contains 1,600 people in a land area of 31 square Kilometre, giving a population density of 51 persons per square Kilometre. The combined municipalities have a total population of 24,002 in a land area of 5,431 square Kilometres. A variation in population distribution is noticeable, Montcalm and Franklin have the lowest number with 1,606 and 1651 respectively compared to 5146 in Richot, 4150 in Rhineland, and more than 2800 in each of the remaining RMs (Table 1.). The population of the Municipality of Richot is mostly concentrated in its northern part - in places like Grande Point and Ste. Adolphe. Many residents in the northern part of Richot commute daily to work in Winnipeg. Hence, this area may be called a suburb or bedroom community of the City of Winnipeg.

The economy of the Red River Valley is predominantly agriculture-based. Besides farming, a small number of large industries are located in the Red River Valley (e.g., Westfield Ltd in Rosenort, Roy Legumeax Inc. in St. Jean Baptiste). Each of the high density villages, locally known as towns, such as Rosenort, Letellier, St. Adolphe, Ste. Agathe, are protected from flooding by dikes.

There is a certain complexity in designating places in Manitoba. For example, Niverville with a population of more than 1,500 is designated a village. So are Ste. Adolphe and Ste. Agathe, while Emerson is designated a town, although it has only 721 people. Arguably, Altona and Morris are the most important population centres in the Valley. Altona was not directly affected by flooding, whereas Morris, situated at the confluence of the Morris and Red River, was. Altona in Rhineland has a population of more than 3,000. This town is perhaps the second most important town after Winkler in the rural south. Land area of Altona is smaller (3.58 sq KM) compared to Morris (5.83 sq KM) but has almost four times the population density (854 versus 279). Interestingly, the village of Niverville has the highest concentration of people - 901 per square Kilometre.

1. Organizational Structure of the Municipalities

The administrative structure of the rural municipalities consists of a body of elected councillors and reeves ( Table 2 ). There is a manager in each of the RMs variously called as administrator, chief administrative officer, or chief executive officer. In some of the RMs, this appointed manager acted as the emergency coordinator during the 1997 Flood. There are a number of committees and sub- committees with various responsibilities, such as, social services, planning, health-care, education, utilities etc.

Table 2: Organizational Structure of Rural Municipalities
RM Number of
Councillors
Number of
Permanent
Staff
Number of
Temporary
Staff
Staff Hired
for Flood
Operations
Number ofCommittees Number of
EPC 1
Members
De Salaberry 7 na na 4 na na
Franklin 7 6 10 na 5 6
Macdonald 8 19 3 3 28 3
Montcalm 7 4 5 6 25 12
Morris 7 3 0 0 na 10
Rhineland 6 6 3 4 4 5
Richot 5 8 4 20 5 6
Roseau R. 5 na na na na 6

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III  THE RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

The main objective of the study was to assess the role and reactions of the decision-makers in rural municipal government in the Red River Valley. There are eight Rural Municipalities (RMs), including an Indian Reserve for the Anishinabe First Nation, that were partly or fully affected by the flood of 1997. Consequently, the eight councils and a ring diked town (Morris) were selected for the study. The participants were the executives and decision-makers of the local governments and included the Reeves, Chiefs and Mayors, the Councillors, and the Manager. With the exception of the municipal manager position, these positions are filled by elected representatives from the communities of a municipality. In most cases, the manager of a municipality acted as emergency coordinator during the 1997 Flood.

This report is based on the following methods of data gathering:

  1. Focus Group Discussions,
  2. Questionnaire Survey,
  3. Debriefing session,
  4. Interview with MEMO staff.

Two general procedures were followed in all interviews (focus groups, debriefing session, MEMO interview). First, topics were not primed by issues raised in earlier interviews. Second, topics explored under the themes identified for the interview were selected by the participants. The advantage of these procedures is that they allow the participants to identify their priorities and concerns. The disadvantage is that there is likely to be less commonality in the topics identified.


1. Focus Groups

Three focus group discussions were organized. The first one took place in Rosenort (RM of Morris) on August 8, 1997; the second in St. Jean Baptiste (RM of Montcalm) on August 27, 1997; and, the third one with Anishinabe First Nations' Band Council in Roseau River Indian Reserve on November 6, 1997. The people engaged in the group discussions were involved in some capacity with the RM's Emergency Response Team. Their positions on the Emergency Response Team ranged from Evacuee Inquiry and Registration coordinator (EIR) to the coordinator of the Emergency Operations Centre (EOC). The participants were identified with the help of the Reeves or Administrators and included Reeves, administrators, Councillors, fire fighters, volunteer coordinators, EIR personnel, and emergency coordinators. The size of the focus group varied. There were six people in the group held in Rosenort, five in St. Jean Baptiste, and five in the Roseau River Indian Reserve. The general format for the discussions was based on the following points of interests:

  1. What did you do well, in managing the 1997 Flood?
  2. What went wrong or could be improved?
  3. What needs to be changed (planning for the future)?
  4. What resources did you have, and what do you need for meeting future flood emergencies?

The direction of the discussions was established by the participants. Discussions were noted in the field books and also were audio taped by two researchers. The discussion with the focus group in Roseau River was recorded in field books. The above methods generated a wealth of qualitative data.


2. The Questionnaire Survey

A field survey was conducted in order to augment the qualitative information obtained from the focus groups. All Reeves, Councillors, Administrators or Emergency Coordinators of the RMs of Richot, Montcalm, Franklin, De Salaberry, Macdonald, Morris, Rhineland, Anishinabe Band Council in The Roseau River Indian Reserve, and the Town of Morris were the target of this survey (see Table 3 for the distribution for each RM).

The purpose of the questionnaire was to elicit information from the emergency managers and the executives of the rural municipalities regarding their perception of, and awareness and preparedness for emergencies arising from natural hazards, such as flooding. The questionnaire also addressed the attitude of the municipal government towards public policies and response to this year's flood.

The questionnaire was divided into 3 sections. The sections addressed the following issues:

A total of 66 semi-structured questionnaires were distributed. A cover letter was attached to the questionnaire explaining the purpose of the survey. The questionnaire was distributed in the Month of August 1997, and follow-up visits and phone calls were made in September, October and November. 1997. As of November 28, 1997, a total of 22 questionnaires had been returned.

Table 3: Selection of Respondents for the Questionnaire Survey
  Number of Questionnaires Distributed
RMs Reeves or
Mayors of
Chief
Councillors RMs Manager
or Emergency
Coordinator
1. Roseau River 1 4 2
2. De Salaberry 1 6 0
3. Franklin 1 6 1
4. Macdonald 1 7 1
5. Montcalm 1 6 1
6. Morris 1 6 0
7. Rhineland 1 5 0
8. Richot 1 4 1
9. Town of Morris 1 6 1

Total

9 50 7
    Grand Total 66

Notes:
na = not available
1. EPC = Emergency Planning Committee


3. Debriefing Session for the Senior Officers of the Rural Municipalities and Towns of the Red River Valley-Morris, November 24, 1997

The debriefing session resulted from a hallway conversation during the Canadian Water Resources Association meetings in late October. One of the Reeves in attendance was irritated that the problems of the upper valley were neither articulated nor addressed in that forum or in any other forum. No one had examined the experiences that the people of the valley had endured. It was suggested that such a discussion could originate in the valley. Other Reeves in attendance thought this was a good idea, so a meeting was scheduled for Morris on November 24, 1997.

Reeves, deputy Reeves or Councillors, and the senior administrative officer of the RMs of Franklin, Rhineland, De Salaberry, Montcalm, Morris, Macdonald, Tache and Richot, and the mayors, deputy Mayors or Councillors, and senior administrative officers of the Towns of Emerson, Morris and Niverville were invited to attend. Twenty-seven invitees participated in the meeting.

After an introductory session, which described the process to be followed in the meeting, the participants were divided into three breakout groups: Reeves and Mayors; deputy Reeves, deputy Mayors and councillors: and senior administrative officers. Each group had a facilitator. Each group had the same task: identify what went well during the emergency and what needs to be improved. At the conclusion of the breakout session, a plenary session was held in which the themes of the breakout session were highlighted. A general discussion of future directions followed. The conclusions of the breakout sessions are included in the present report.


4. The Perspective of the Manitoba Emergency Management Organization- Meeting of November 27, 1997

The Manitoba Emergency Management Organization (MEMO) is charged with coordinating emergency operations for the province. In this role it interacts with the municipalities to assist with resource allocation, strategies, and response and recovery needs. Consequently, members of MEMO have an experiential basis to provide perspectives on the flood-related activities of the RMs that is external to the RMs.

MEMO was approached and agreed to a meeting in which several members of MEMO who participated in the emergency would share their perspectives. Two general themes were explored: first, what went well for the RMs and second, what did not go well for them.

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IV OBSERVATIONS

1. Observations From the Focus Groups

The observations from the focus groups are presented in the order in which the sessions occurred: Rosenort, St. Jean Baptiste, and the Roseau River Indian Reserve. In each subsection, the comments have been reorganized to follow the temporal pattern associated with disaster management: community readiness, community preparedness, community response, and community recovery. Subtitles under these headings reflect topics of interest for the particular focus group.

1. 1 Focus Group I: Rosenort, Rural Municipality of Morris - August 8, 1997

1. 1. 1 Community Readiness

Members of the community have a long history with floods. Active memories date to the flood of 1950, and all those that followed. The recorded history goes back to the settlement of the area by the Mennonites in the 1880s. One participant's grandfather had noted that when they arrived, the natives of the area were surprised that the newcomers settled on the flood plain, a location they had abandoned as a result of being surprised by a great flood. The clear expectation was that more great floods would follow.

The flood of 1996 was a learning experience for many members of the community. Outside the ring dike, many home owners went through the process of protecting their property against high waters and engaging in a complex project management process of: translating predicted water level into height of the needed dike; estimating and obtaining the materials needed to construct their dike; marshalling the manpower needed to construct a structure in the time available; and then, maintaining the protective wall that was built. Personal lessons learned from 1996, were being incorporate into the planning for 1997. For example, in 1996 many families boarded their children at schools outside the flood plain. The separation of children and mothers was often problematic for both. Consequently, many families planned, and subsequently endeavoured, to keep their family together for as long as possible during the impending emergency.

Individual readiness to respond appropriately to forecasts varied considerably. While most people engaged in precautionary measures, there were exceptions. Three different groups were identified. People reported being frozen into inactivity - not knowing where to start; others exercised strong denial tendencies; and, still others wanted to be more certain of the threat before altering their landscapes. No recognizable gender differences were identified. Differences in reactions were attributed to differences in psychological profiles. The first group seemed to respond well to friends and relatives who would get them started. Once started they were able to take control of the tasks that needed to be completed. But the other two groups showed greater resistance to beginning. Even after the flooding of Grand Forks, an event that galvanized many, some people waited, comfortable with the knowledge that Grand Forks had flooded before, and the subsequent effects in their region were not too severe. The consequence, for many in this group, was the inability to mount an effective defense against the water levels that resulted.

1. 1. 2 Community Preparedness

The Rural Municipality established an Emergency Operations Centre (EOC) at the fire hall within the ring dike at Morris. The Emergency Planning Committee (EPC) coordinated community preparedness and response for the emergency from the EOC.

Preparations for the flood, both for individuals and the Municipality, were greatly hindered by the April blizzard. Resources had to be shifted to respond to the problems caused by the blizzard. A crucial requirement was to remove snow so that temporary dikes could be constructed on solid ground. Having to engage in such activities shortened the time available to prepare flood defenses.

Forecasts of Water Levels for the Community

Knowledge of the expected flood levels was crucial to the ability of the EPC to advise residents on the resources they would require. That the forecasts kept increasing caused difficulties in coordinating resources, particularly after road access was lost in some regions early in the emergency. Trying to keep up with increasing forecasts, meant a second problem was not being properly addressed. The flood plain is broad in the RM. Consequently, wind action alters water levels, by as much as a foot in some areas. Moreover, the winds cause waves that push peak water heights considerably higher. Building to the forecasted level plus two feet was inadequate for some residents.

Wave action was viewed by participants as a serious problem. Four to five foot waves were reported. It was noted that wave action was a much greater problem in 1950 when eight to nine foot waves were noted. The difference in wave actions was attributed to the absence of rural roads in 1950. It was thought that the present east-west road system, about one every mile, served as an energy absorber that reduced the wind's impact.

Participants noted that previous floods, like the present one, had been preceded by large spring snow falls. Their concern was that land use practices in the American part of the valley were designed to remove water rapidly from farm land and therefore were intensifying the flooding in their RM. They noted with regret that similar practices were occurring in Manitoba. This water should be slowed down when there is a potential for a flood.

Dike Construction

To assist residents in constructing dikes, the EPC prepared pamphlets on proper dike construction techniques. These were readily available at the fire hall. The pamphlets were well received with people reporting that they were clear and easy to follow. In addition, members of the Rural Municipal Council demonstrate proper construction techniques at various locations in the municipality. The sense was that the residents mastered the techniques, but many volunteers did not. More than one dike built by volunteers had to be disassembled and reconstructed.

Distribution of Materials

The strategy for distributing sand and sandbags varied among the major communities in the municipality. The Morris area is inundated early and many roads become impassable. Consequently, the strategy was to move sand and bags to residents outside the ring dikes as early as possible. In many cases, excess sand and bags were obtained for contingencies that might arise after the home became isolated. On the other hand, in Rosenort it was more efficient to centralize the filling of sandbags and then move the bags and work crews, when available, to locations of high priority.

Sand and sandbag deliveries were critical variables for people. Their demand for materials and volunteers sometimes stressed the system. When delivery men were informed that a load was no longer needed, they were directed to the nearest site in need, often by people in the area, rather than to the site of greatest need. Nonetheless, sand bags generally got to where they were needed in time.

Distribution of Volunteers

The EPC's response plan called for volunteers to report to the fire hall for assignment to the most urgent needs in the municipality. This did not happen. Only 40 to 50% of the volunteers did so. This, in part, reflected how volunteers were raised. Many residents arranged for the assistance of friends and relatives. This was perceived by many as a way of providing some quality assurance to the work being done. Too often, volunteers arrived untrained. Neophytes were laying sand bags for the first time. Time was needed to train them and greater oversight of their work was required. Some residents attempted to use volunteers only for filling and moving the bags, but quickly discovered that they were unable to sustain the physical effort needed to lay all the bags. The volunteers' intentions, attitudes, enthusiasm and willingness to work were highly praised and greatly appreciated, but there were concerns, justified or not, that volunteers do not have the same vested interest in the success of the workmanship as one's friends and relatives had.

A second cause of the low registration of volunteers at the EOC was the way in which some volunteers entered the municipality. When being transported by bus, volunteers would see work parties engaged in dike construction at residences on the main highways leading to the towns in the RM. Rather than continue to the EOC, the bus would stop and those on board would join the work in progress. As a consequence, the distribution of volunteer efforts was uneven. This was a cause of resentment among residents who did not live along major routes in the municipality.

There were two unintended consequences of such actions. First, at some sites there were too many people. This slowed the work and certainly under-used the human resources. Second, not enough people were available to the EOC for assignment. Consequently, some residents could not obtain the assistance they needed at the time they required it. This became critical as residents were isolated by rising water.

Overall, the utilization of volunteers was viewed as a significant improvement over 1979 efforts. There was far better distribution of volunteers within the RM. In 1979, the amount of volunteer activity was inversely proportional to the distance between the work site and the major communities in the municipality.

As most volunteer activity occurred in the evening, no systematic volunteer support system was used by the EOC. Residents provide refreshments at their sites.

Brunkild Dike

The participants did not feel that the newly constructed dike at Brunkild (Z-dike) caused extra flooding in their area, but thought that it may have helped keep the water levels high for a longer period. The principle of saving 100,000 homes at the cost of a few was viewed as justifiable. Being silent about the decision and the effects it caused was not. The people who were sacrificed should be fully compensated.

1. 1. 3 Community Response

During the response phase, the EOC faced two dissimilar management problems. The first, required maintaining the capacity to ensure the integrity of the ring dikes; the second, required servicing the residents outside the ring dikes.

In anticipation of the need to deal with damage to the ring dikes, the EPC had rented the equipment needed to perform dike maintenance. However, when the Province identified the need to construct the Z-dike south of Winnipeg, there was a strong demand that the RM's equipment be moved to assist in the construction. The EPC felt like it was battling the city for the right to protect itself and felt that their needs were not being respected because of their smaller size.

Outside the ring dikes, the preparation and response phases blended together. The rising waters isolated some homesteads during the construction of dikes. Once isolated it became increasingly difficult to move volunteers to such work sites. The EPC had small boats and some larger ones rented from Gimli. The safety of the smaller boats was a concern when the winds and waves were up. In addition, the shifts in water levels accompanying shifts in wind direction increased the hazard of navigating through the water. Given the situation, the EPC knew that it would have difficulty in servicing secondary emergencies such as health problems and fires. This would be particularly true if the site of the emergency was any distance from the ring dikes. Residents were informed of this and fortunately no events occurred.

With the arrival of the military, the aquatic capabilities of the EPC were enhanced. However, there was never any assurance that the boats would be available if needed, because the military boats could be ordered elsewhere at any time.

And finally, as the river's crest approached, the EPC lost control of its ability to respond effectively. Too many calls for assistance were received from outside the ring dikes; it became increasingly difficult to deliver the assistance to the sites; and too few volunteers were available to provide the assistance. At this point, it was clear that an evacuation was needed in some areas. The EPC's evacuation plan was activated. Given a successful evacuation, the EOC believed that it then could manage the response activities of those who remained by using the supplies provided by the Department of Natural Resources (DNR) and advice from MEMO.

Voluntary Evacuation

The EPC strongly agreed with the principle, found in the Province's Emergency Plan, that places the highest priority on the protection of people's lives. Therefore, the EOC recognized that evacuation might be necessary and had developed their own evacuation plan. The EOC's plan called for the evacuation of women, children, the elderly and those with health problems.

Generally there was compliance with the request to evacuate. However, there was some resistance to the order. Often it was from individuals who had been involved in fighting earlier floods (e.g., 1950) and believed they were still capable of flood fighting, despite being forty years older and having pacemakers, etc.! Diplomacy and tact generally convinced them to leave.

Mandatory Evacuation

This was one of the few topics that generate anger during the discussion. The situation was poorly managed. The order was confusing; mixed messages were received. First, everyone was to be evacuated, but, within the hour, this order was changed. The scope of the evacuation made no sense. The order came from the province, but the authority to issue the order was with the Reeve. Yet, the order was sent out without coming through the Reeve's office. It was noted that the order was unsigned, and unattributable, and therefore, difficult to pursue with the Province.

The situation was very frustrating. The causes of the problems were perceived to be those in charge of the RCMP, MEMO and military and their inability to agree to lines of authority. This perceived power struggle placed in jeopardy the ability of the first-responders to act in a coherent, responsible fashion.

A meeting was held with representatives from DNR, the RCMP and the Military. At the meeting it was agreed that women, children and people with health problems would be required to leave, whereas, people with boats, supplies, and a cell phone could stay. In this meeting the military and RCMP were very reasonable and accommodating However, the agreement was overturned at a higher level. It appeared that the people at the top of these organizations were changing, and the new leaders were trying to exert their authority by issuing orders. Moreover, it appeared that the senior people wanted the authority, but not the responsibility. The Reeve asked to be relieved of the responsibility so that those issuing the orders faced the consequences of a mandatory evacuation. The request was refused. When the question of refusing the order was raised, the Reeve was informed that refusing to evacuate everyone would be interpreted as indicating they did not want help and therefore, future consultations would be denied. Such coercive and inflammatory remarks set the stage for what became an unpleasant experience for many residents.

People were not frightened by the water, but were stressed by the tactics used to get them out of their homes. Some people were told a four-foot wall of water was coming at them and they had to leave immediately. Others were told to be out in ten minutes or face forcible evacuation. Parenthetically, one councillor was told by a member of the army that the army knew they could not carry out such a threat, but were using it as a tactic to facilitate the evacuation. The fear-mongering strategy was effect. But the cost was a panicked population, unable, and not given enough time, to make wise decisions about their orderly departure. It left many people anxiety and panic stricken.

However, the tactic also generated nonviolent civil disobedience. People did not leave. Some of these were outside the ring dikes. Where their presence in the flood area was unknown, the potential for loss of life was greatly increased.

Interactions with the Military

The presence of the military was a new experience for the Municipality. The need for military assistance had not occurred in the recent previous floods. Overall, involvement of the military was appreciated. They arrived when people were exhausted and provide a much needed symbol of encouragement and assistance. The reaction was reciprocal.

On the other hand, the military presence was seen to have produced serious negative effects, and for some, the military contribution was a liability to the emergency response system. The concerns centred on four themes. First, the tactics used to evacuate people were considered insensitive, cruel and lacking in diplomacy. There was, particularly among senior officers, an arrogance and an inability, or unwillingness, to use local expertise. Second, the military actions were inconsistent. Quite helpful in some situations, they refused assistance in others. The help was denied because contributing to a particular action was not "part of their orders." Third, the military was slow to respond to local requests and needs. All actions requested by the Municipal EPC had to be cleared through the chain of command. In some cases, this took hours. When requests were denied, a rationale might not be given. And finally, the military was unreliable. They always seem to leave before any real dangers happened. Often the departures happened with no forewarning. Mixed messages were received that complicated community tactical response planning. For example, the military indicated that the municipality needed military resources, particularly boats, in the event that the crews protecting the ring diked communities needed to be evacuated. Military boats were available, yet, the Municipality was also told to ensure that it had sufficient boats of its own (between the rented boats and the MEMO boats, it did) for this task because the military boats might not be available.

View of the Provincial Emergency Response Plan

Widespread dissatisfaction was expressed with how the Provincial Response Plan was deployed. The plan assigns the responsibility and authority for responding to the emergency to the Municipality. Despite assurances from the Premier that the line of authority was to be respected, too frequently, it was not. MEMO acted unilaterally, without authority, and, in the minds of some, unnecessarily. The most glaring example was the mandatory evacuation order which was issued without consultation with the Municipality. While preliminary discussions of the possibility were discussed, the need for, and timing of, the action was not. That military commanders in distant cities knew that their role on arriving in Manitoba would be to enforce a mandatory evacuation while those in charge of first -response capabilities were kept ignorant of the order, underscores the degree to which the hierarchical management system was malfunctioning.

Community Cooperation During the Preparation and Response Phases

In the early phases of the emergency, there was a high degree of cooperation in the community. As the water rose this persisted within the ring dike communities. Outside the ring dikes, people focused increasingly on saving their own property. Over time, people became tired, impatient, increasingly worried about their property, even fearing that they would lose it, but they were not frightened about their own safety. This changed with the mandatory evacuation order and the tactics used to enforce it.

1. 1. 4 Community Recovery

As the waters receded, people returned to their homes. For those suffering flood damage, this was particularly trying time. Individuals "spun their wheels," not knowing how and where to start the process of returning to normal. Some spent days just staring; others felt more exhausted than if they had worked all day. There was, and continues to be for some, a sense of defeat. People are not capable of making decisions, even such simple ones as which shirt to put on in the morning. These problems are not being addressed. There was a strong sense that MEMO had not prepared for reentry problems and there was little help available for many.

Of immediate concern was cleaning-up after the flood. Equipment was available. But because so many people were having difficult focusing their attention on needed activities, outside help was necessary.

Non-Government Organizations (NGOs) were quick to respond. They consulted with the EPC to identify what was needed. Optional activities were identified, and the NGO would undertake one. A great deal of consultation occurred and the Reeve focused the efforts on pressing problems.

The second major source of anger in the discussion was generated by considering the Province's recovery programs. What people needed were assistance, guidance and order. What they got was confusion, red tape, lack of consideration and chaos. Policies were changed in midstream. For example, one family, after completing the reconstruction of their basement, was told to raise it. People were told to rebuild and submit bills for reimbursement. But neither guidelines nor capital were made available initially to do so. After hearing that there would be up to $100,000 available for replacement construction, they discovered that was not to be the case. Some people had single-item bills that were larger than the adjustments they received. One person bought pumps to defend his property, while a neighbour rented pumps, for more money than it cost to purchase the pumps, for the same purpose. Both were successful, the renter was compensated for costs, the purchaser was not. Another person spent a great deal of money to successfully protect his low-lying property. A neighbour did nothing. Only the neighbour received compensation. Possessions were depreciated, and the amount received rarely covered half the replacement cost. People reported being unable to purchased even used replacements with the amounts given to them under the program. There were reports of individuals who do not intend to try and protect their basements in future floods because they believe that people who made no attempt or who were unsuccessful in 1997 were sufficiently compensated that they are now better off financially relative to themselves. Apparent inequities abound. Vulnerable people received shabby treatment.

It was generally agreed that individuals should not profit from the flood. Depreciation on some items, like furnished basements was appropriate. But other items, such as furnaces, oven ranges, water heaters and refrigerators are necessary to return to normal living. Better formulas are needed.

1. 2 Focus Group II: St. Jean, Rural Municipality of Montcalm - August 27, 1997

1. 2. 1 Community Readiness

The citizens of Montcalm are familiar with flooding. Its time course and possible effects are widely known People living outside the ring diked communities have developed the capacity and experience to defend their property against rising water. Consequently, there was no undue alarm over the prospects of a flood in 1997.

1. 2. 2 Community Preparedness

Preparedness began with the meetings held by MEMO in Winnipeg and Morris in late February. The meetings focused on long range forecasts, both American and Canadian, that indicate the record snow loads in the upper basin were going to lead to spring flooding which had the potential to be more severe than had occurred in 1996. Information from that meeting was widely circulated in the community.

The community has an emergency committee. On the weekend of the April blizzard, the committee was scheduled to meet to identify all individuals that would be considered essential service providers in the event of an evacuation of the ring diked towns. The meeting was cancelled and not rescheduled. This was considered to be an error. It left the community without a formal response strategy and unable to inform MEMO of the names of the essential service providers and why they were needed. This weakness was subsequently exploited, in the view of participants, by MEMO during the response phase of flood fighting. In retrospect, the community should have been better prepared to deal with MEMO.

As part of its response structure, the rural municipality had two emergency committees: one in Letellier and one in St. Jean. For both committees, the contact with MEMO was to be a single individual. When the preparedness phase progressed into the response phase, the actions and behaviours of this individual became intolerable to the community. Direct contact with MEMO in Winnipeg was required to have the person removed and an alternate assigned. The need to deal with personnel matters at this stage of the flood was not appreciated.

Outside of the ring diked communities, people's previous experiences had generally positive impacts on their preparations. Boats, pumps and gas generators were made ready; food and water supplies prepared; agricultural products removed; sandbag dikes established. People were ready to be isolated and to protect their property. However, prior experience did not always assist preparedness. Some individuals had been dry in previous floods and expected to be in this one. When representatives of the Prairie Farm Rehabilitation Association informed residents of the water levels expected for their property, there was insufficient time to build the required defenses.

Cellular phones became an important link in the community, at times, the only reliable means of communication. The cell phones became the vital communication link and made the delivery of assistance to those outside the dikes far more efficient. Once flooding occurred, cell phones were the fastest and safest way to check the safety of people in more remote locations.

1. 2. 3 Community Response

The community has an emergency plan placed in a binder for ready access. However, it was not used. They have found that they need to react to the situation and that each situation is sufficiently unique that the plan is not too helpful.

Voluntary Evacuation

The EPC recognized that it would be necessary to have people, including those inside the ring dike, leave before the water rose too high. On Monday, April 21, a local state of emergency was declared and a voluntary evacuation program was activated. Part of the rationale for the approach was to get people use to the idea that they would have to go. People were strongly advised that the evacuation might become mandatory by the end of the week. On Tuesday night, members of the committee went door-to-door and provided people with a list of things to do to prepared for evacuation. The list included how to prepare homes for evacuation.

Mandatory Evacuation

On Wednesday, April 23, the municipality received an unsigned letter from MEMO declaring a mandatory evacuation. The Reeve also sent a letter authorizing it. The EPC contacted those that had not evacuated already by phone. In addition, the fire fighters went around and distributed notices. As a small town, the word spread quickly. By the 8:00 p.m. deadline specified in the evacuation notice, everyone was out. It was perceived to have gone smoothly. In general, the mandatory evacuation was viewed as a good thing. However, it would have been better had it occurred a day earlier because the roads north were still open then. As it was, a circuitous route had to be followed.

The mandatory evacuation did present some problems. First, the number of essential personnel that were allowed to remain was too low for the number of tasks that needed to be performed. The number was selected without consultation and imposed over the strenuous objections of the community. DNR was responsible for the integrity of the dikes. Yet, on the two days when high winds drove the water onto the dike, the DNR relied on the local responders to work on it. The military had a skeleton crew inside the dike. But they would not have been of much help. Additional military personnel were available for specific tasks, but they had to be requested through the military chain of command - a process that would have delayed action by several hours. Consequently, the local essential personnel knew that if a secondary emergency developed inside the dike (e.g., a fire), they would not have the manpower to deal with it. This placed enormous strain and responsibility on the shoulders of the few local essential service providers who remained and who saw their role, in part, as preserving the safety of the residences in town.

The process by which the mandatory evacuation was introduced was generally considered a disaster that caused a great deal of unnecessary anxiety and panic. Its early enforcement continued this unfortunate pattern. After the townspeople had left, those remaining as essential service were told that half of them had to leave and be inside the ring dike only during the day. This was viewed as unfair. The essential service personnel had the skills needed to provided services that might be needed. What is more important, people thought they were receiving unequitable treatment. DNR kept a crew of 19 inside the dike to operate heavy equipment if need be. However, there were only six pieces of equipment. It was never satisfactorily explained why more than six people were allowed to stay, when they clearly would not be able to work, while so many local essential service personnel were forced to leave. DNR was adamant and authoritarian about the numbers and put great pressure on the community to meet the numbers the Department specified.

Outside the ring dikes, the reaction to the mandatory evacuation and the attempts to enforce it met much greater resistance. Based on prior flood experiences, people expected that they would be fighting the flood. Preparations were made; defenses mounted. The announcement and enforcement of a mandatory evacuation were taken as a betrayal by the province. Many people resisted. Some were escorted from their property by the RCMP. Others went into hiding and refused to communicate with outsiders of any sort. They refused to respond to cell phone calls and were not visible when boats arrived to see if they were alright. Others, some of whom had been escorted from their properties, returned within an hour of leaving. While the enforced evacuation lasted only twenty-four hours before it was rescinded, the time period was sufficient for some basements to be flooded, a few homes to be lost, and several more to be at greater risk. The episode created panic and a great deal of ill-will that continues to linger.

The community had argued strenuously against an inclusive mandatory evacuation. They agreed fully with the position of the Rural Municipality of Morris that the evacuation should apply to women, children, the elderly and the infirm. People, equipped to fight, communicate and escape should be supported in their efforts, not told to abandon them. MEMO refused to listen and, for some, is responsible for the subsequent upheaval.

The initial period of the evacuation caused a lot of damage in the community. What is more important, it increased the risk of injury or death to its citizens. Those hiding and returning to their properties could not be tracked. They were taking greater risks without the community knowing of their whereabouts and hence having the ability to provide assistance to them. When personnel went looking for such people in boats, the safety of the searchers was placed at a higher risk. Both types of situations could and should have been avoided.

Interactions with the Military

The military was "super." They helped a lot of people. It is unfortunate that they did not arrive a week earlier. If they had, it would have been possible to save several of the properties where the owners waited too long to begin constructing dikes.

On the other hand, the military was blamed for the fiasco of the enforced mandatory evacuation. The belief is that a commander in Edmonton ordered the commander in Winnipeg to order the RCMP to clear all personnel out of the valley. Stories of 4-5 foot walls of water were spread; bullying and intimidation tactics were employed. This was thought to be the goal of the meeting in Morris. Despite the objections of many local officials, the strategy was pushed. It is believed that only after the government, possibly Premier Filmon, interjected and informed the commander from Edmonton that the order needed to be changed, was the strategy altered.

Interactions with the Province

Concern was expressed that the Province exceeded its authority during the response phase of the flood. The community was informed that when the province declares a state of emergency, then the authority to act transfers from the community to the province. The community was perturbed when it later found out that this assertion was false: the act clearly indicated that the local community continued to have the principal authority in this situation. The municipality does not think it will make the mistake of believing the government in the future.

There was further concern about how the mandatory evacuation was sold. The province attempted to enforce it, although, in the absence of a declaration of martial law, they were not entitled to do so. The community did not know that the province was acting illegally and therefore allowed the rights of its citizens to be violated.

And finally, the participants were irritated with MEMO, DNR and the military for ignoring the knowledge and advice of local experts and inhabitants. There is a wealth of experience in the community and Council could have assisted in coordinating the interaction of government departments and the relevant knowledgeable people. Yet no effort was made to do so and when advice was offered, it tended not to be believed. The consequences were actions being contemplated or attempted, or predictions made, which were nonsensical to local experts. This in turned reduced the credibility of those leading the defenses against the flood. Two examples were offered. First, the military clearly did not understand the characteristics of flooding in the valley. They were attempting to fight the Saguenay flood. The vision of a five-foot wall of water traversing the Manitoba flood plain was a cause of mirth for some. Second, DNR indicated that a certain stretch of highway 14 would flood while a parallel stretch of highway 201 would not. Residents of that area told the community that the reverse would happen. The residents were correct. Errors in predicting losses of access routes were not considered to be trivial!

The participants could not understand why local experts were not consulted. It was clear that almost all the MEMO and military personnel placed in the community had no experience with flooding. Mutual benefits would have resulted. Local experts would not have prevented the need to evacuate, probably they would have reinforced it, but they could have prevented the evacuation from turning into a fiasco and causing emotional damage in the community.

1. 2. 4 Community Recovery

The participants did not spend much time addressing this topic. It was noted that the community was actively cleaning up flood damage. Once this is completed, the attention will focus on seeking community input of how the flood was managed. The desire is to obtain ideas from the experts in the community about how to be more effective in responding to the next flood.

1. 3 Focus Group III: Roseau River Anishinabe First Nations - November 6, 1997

Unique challenges faced the residents of Roseau River Anishinabe First Nations. Cultural practices, governance, and financial procedures differ from those found in the other valley communities. Consequently, there was less opportunity to benefit from experiences of other communities on the flood plain. This is unfortunate, because the residents of Roseau River Anishinabe First Nations may be the most vulnerable group living on the flood plain. Because the system under which they live controls all aspects of their lives, the community suffers from a sense of helplessness. When people feel helpless, they believe they have no control over events. Moreover, it is more difficult for them to identify a course of action and to sustain that activity once initiated (see Abramson, Metalsky & Alloy, 1989).

Considering the resources that were lacking, the participants agreed that the community did a great job in dealing with the emergency. Moreover, despite the hardships and misfortunes (one resident died of a heart attack while working on flood preparations), the community benefited in that people came closer together in order to cope with the flood.

1. 3. 1 Community Readiness

Responsibility for First Nations people lies with the federal government through its Department of Indian Affairs. Consequently, the community did not fall under the provincial Emergency Plan. Access by the community to provincial information and services was correspondingly diminished.

The attitude of people was important in determining their reactions to flood forecasts and warnings. Some members in the community engaged in wishful thinking - believing the flood would not happen. Such attitudes kept people from taking appropriate preparatory actions. While the experiences of Grand Forks did shock some into actions, denial persisted for others. For some people, there was a strong sense of denial and this was communicated to others by such actions as driving past people filling sandbags and laughing at them.

1. 3. 2. Community Preparedness

The community established an Emergency Operations Centre in an alcohol treatment centre. The participants indicated that a site outside the flood plain would be preferable in the future.

Assistance to the community was provided by Manitoba Association of Native Fire Fighters (MANFF). In addition, a secondment was made from the finance area to look after the finances related to flood fighting costs. MANFF works with MEMO when natural disasters occur in areas governed by the First Nations. It served as the liaison between Rousseau River and MEMO. A member of MANFF joined the community in order to facilitate liaison activities. MANFF provided forecasts and flood information, and reported the community needs to MEMO.

Roseau River first hired MANFF in early 1996 to obtain assistance with that year's flood emergency. MANFF generated an emergency work plan for them at that time. In 1997, MANFF's assistance was crucial to the community's efforts. MANFF offered advice on what needed to be done and who should do it to Roseau River's flood coordinator, who was given more authority than either the chief or council during the emergency.

The interactions with MANFF were not without problems. The community felt that the information provided was inadequate at times. Communications with MANFF, which has its offices in Winnipeg, were sometimes difficult. Phones, faxes and, sometimes, personal contact were used.

Women were involved in meetings on the flood preparations. They participated fully in the discussions. Their principal concern was for the safety of their children.

1. 3. 3 Community Response

For a smooth flood response, people need to know what to do. It is necessary for the planners to think carefully about how to implement an emergency plan. It was agreed that the community needs training in how to respond to flooding.

Mandatory Evacuation

In 1979, the most serious previous flood, the community had been evacuated. Consequently, there was some expectation that it might happen this year. This expectation was reinforced, and communicated through the community, six weeks before the order arrived. Voluntary evacuations occurred prior to the notice of the mandatory one.

Two hours before the official notification, people were alerted to the need to evacuate. When the order came, it was communicated in person to those who remained. Many people resisted the order. Some had not prepared for it ahead of time. With such individuals, different tactics were taken. First, a concern for their well-being was expressed. The evacuation was for their safety; if the dike breached, it was possible they would be injured or would drown. Others had to be told that the police would come and remove them if they did not evacuate. Overall, everybody was stressed by the uncertainty surrounding the evacuation process. At the time of the crest, there were 30 people left to provide essential services for the dikes.

The most frustrating problems were the lack of financial and physical resources. For example, the community needed pumps. When the need was identified, the money for pumps was not available. Ultimately, they had to fly in pumps. A second example was offered. The community wanted to provide food for volunteers. To do so, they had to get approval from the Department of Indian Affairs.

A second major concern focused on communication problems. The problem was the absence of prompt and complete information. The problem caused several adverse effects. First, flood-related decision-making became more difficult. Second, the finance office was moved to Winnipeg making it harder to track resources. And third, the notification of their evacuation was delayed. When Premier Filmon declared a disaster zone and stated which areas needed to be evacuated, Roseau River was not mentioned. The community had to find out from federal authorities that they should also evacuate. Roseau River always seems to be caught between jurisdictions, as they were in this case.

Where people had relatives, they went to stay with them. Often people lived at very close quarters. This cause difficulties for some.

Evacuation Location

The evacuation location was also a concern for many members of the community. They felt like they were not treated equally or fairly. While people from other communities were housed in hotels, the residents of Roseau River were placed in an arena in St. Anne. There was no privacy, they had to sleep on air mattresses, and there were problems with the heating. People had problems cashing cheques (the community was able to resolve this problem by making arrangements with some credit unions in St. Anne). On the other hand, people relocated to St. Anne ate very well, far better than they could if they were on social welfare. The arena situation was difficult. But people dealt with it well. This showed the resilience of the people and became a source of pride.

The participants were quick to point out that the issue was the facilities and not the people of St. Anne. The citizens of St. Anne were cooperative, helpful and friendly. They tried hard to ameliorate the difficult situation that the evacuees faced.

It was pointed out by a participant that the choice of the evacuation location was made by MANFF and that this fact may not be widely recognized. MANFF was asked to find a location and identified St. Anne. The flood coordinator asked for confirmation that St. Anne has the resources need to house the community's evacuees and received it from MANFF.

In a previous emergency, the community had been evacuated to the military facility at Portage la Prairie. Families had their own space. The community was together and isolated somewhat from outsiders. The sense was that this previous situation was less arduous on members of the community.

The perception of receiving mixed signals was raised repeatedly. MANFF, MEMO, the provincial DNR and the military were among the organizations that were perceived as sending them. The military forcefully pushed for the evacuation of the essential people who were monitoring the flood. This was not perceived to have occurred elsewhere. When members of the community went to Altona for financial help, they were refused the same treatment as other evacuees. They were told that they would have to go to Winnipeg to make arrangements. Apparently, at some previous point in time, discussions between the federal Department of Indian Affairs and the Red Cross produced an agreement that the Altona centre would not be responsible for financial assistance for evacuees from Roseau River. Roseau River residents were not informed of this agreement, nor were they asked to participate in the discussions.

1. 3. 4 Community Recovery

The cultural uniqueness of the Roseau River Anishinabe First Nations seems to be incompatible with the Recovery programs that were put in place. As a First Nation, the community "owns" all the buildings. Families occupy residences, but do not have ownership of them. Consequently, it was difficult for a family to get assistance in repairing the house in which they lived because programs were designed to help property owners.

In the community, there is a belief that under the Disaster Financial Agreement, the federal government unloaded its financial responsibilities to the First Nations onto the province and that the province then takes a percentage of the money. The local MLA indicated that the province has no responsibility in the situation. While the community does not think he is correct, they agree with the sentiment: the federal government should be working directly with the community.

Currently, Rousseau River is working directly with MEMO on issues related to damaged homes and goods. MEMO will not give them 100% of their costs. They are only getting 80-90% of their depreciated costs. The Department of Indian Affairs is suppose to cover the shortfall.

As the waters receded, and people started to return to the community, there was concern that the difficulties experienced in interacting with authorities would continue and these stresses would be compounded by post-flood trauma. The Salvation Army offered psychological services. The Salvation Army wanted to go house-to-house to provide the service. They were advised that it would be better if an office was opened and people informed of the available services. No additional interactions occurred. A phone call was made to the Salvation Army but it not returned. Subsequent events have convinced the community that people trained in dealing with post-flood trauma are needed.

1. 3. 5 For the Future

At the end of the meeting, the participants offered suggestions as to what they needed to do to improve their ability to deal with another major flood. Some of these ideas are found in the paragraphs above. The rest are listed below.


2. Observations From the Questionnaires

2. 1 Disaster Seriousness Ratings

How serious are disasters to the executives of the rural municipalities of Red River floodplain?

All people acknowledge natural hazards are significant problems and may happen anywhere, and at any time. Whether or not a community leader will take appropriate action on the basis of such acknowledgement depends on various factors. In the minds of the community leader, other more pressing socio-economic problems may get priority. The hazard particularly may not be viewed as sufficiently serious to warrant specific measures. On the basis of such variations, there could be disagreement on what to do and how. In order to judge perception of seriousness of natural hazards, the questionnaire asked the respondents what have been the serious problems facing their community over the last ten years. Respondents were asked to rate each of 12 disaster types from a score of 1 (not serious) to 10 (most serious). Hence, the first question in the questionnaire was "We are interested in knowing what have been the serious problems facing your community over the past 10 years. Please rate each problem on the list with a score between 1 and 10 to represent just how serious you think that problem has been for your community over the past 10 years. Here is a list with a scale from 1 to 10. Think of a score of 1 as no problem at all, and a score of 10 as a most serious problem. What score between 1 and 10 would you give to…". This statement was repeated for each category of questions.

The results are shown in Table 4 . As expected, flooding is seen as the most serious problem in the flood plain. Usually, one would expect that people to express higher concern for a very recent event that created severe damages to the people and community. Although the magnitude of the flood in the Red River Valley this year was a hundred- year event with a return probability of 0.01, people in the Red River Valley have recent experiences of increasingly larger floods at diminishing intervals.

Table 5 presents zero-order correlations in seriousness ratings of 12 hazards reported by the respondents. With few exceptions, the rating are found to be strongly correlated among themselves. These correlationships show underlying coherency in respondent's concerns for natur